Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.995119 1.212185 1.443906 1.707615 1.997441 2.304468 2.652541
2024-10-27 0.763140 1.067638 1.416590 1.837430 2.323318 2.859741 3.490055
2024-11-03 0.648584 1.001096 1.424955 1.955092 2.585238 3.297216 4.150074
2024-11-10 0.559869 0.948740 1.437323 2.067949 2.835805 3.719594 4.794246
2024-11-17 0.493946 0.911278 1.456270 2.178461 3.075046 4.122110 5.410045
2024-11-24 0.416252 0.844891 1.428595 2.223431 3.229566 4.421373 5.903633
2024-12-01 0.339834 0.767435 1.376526 2.229319 3.329747 4.651235 6.312085
2024-12-08 0.256553 0.664372 1.278182 2.165687 3.335724 4.761936 6.574607
2024-12-15 0.189670 0.573825 1.187245 2.103437 3.336696 4.861364 6.819465
2024-12-22 0.142417 0.506503 1.122490 2.070357 3.370010 4.996537 7.104078
2024-12-29 0.116297 0.473808 1.107071 2.103600 3.488485 5.236930 7.516701
2025-01-05 0.090549 0.434754 1.077201 2.113061 3.573226 5.433581 7.874975
2025-01-12 0.061496 0.379897 1.019894 2.085722 3.615929 5.588120 8.197233
2025-01-19 0.057928 0.391054 1.077190 2.231515 3.898121 6.053608 8.912112
2025-01-26 0.053301 0.397475 1.125329 2.363032 4.160540 6.493745 9.595662
2025-02-02 0.048503 0.401890 1.169564 2.488936 4.416110 6.926446 10.271944
2025-02-09 0.043942 0.405499 1.211865 2.611901 4.668061 7.355292 10.944659
2025-02-16 0.033857 0.385321 1.207850 2.661868 4.817657 7.651245 11.450865
2025-02-23 0.022794 0.353210 1.177592 2.668406 4.904840 7.865041 11.853234
2025-03-02 0.010970 0.301318 1.101694 2.597703 4.879380 7.928909 12.064213
2025-03-09 0.003920 0.255035 1.029823 2.528449 4.852301 7.987949 12.266948
2025-03-16 0.000964 0.221757 0.980102 2.491612 4.868609 8.101568 12.536393
2025-03-23 0.000226 0.208579 0.974472 2.528630 4.992794 8.359686 12.991999